Liverpool Real Madrid Chelsea PSG Who are Champions Lgue fav
ผู้เขียน: เวลาปล่อย:2022-11-30 01:12

The Champions League round of 16 draw was concluded on Monday morning with plenty of fascinating ties to whet the appetite of supporters pulled out of the hat.

UEFAs famous anthem might not be blaring out in stadiums across the continent for another few months, but supporters of the 16 clubs still competing in Europe now know the next hurdle theyve go to clear if their dreams are to come true.

The most eye-catching fixture to come out of the pot sees a re-run of last seasons final with an inconsistentLiverpoolside hoping to exact revenge upon their bogey team inReal Madrid.

Meanwhile, a Paris Saint-Germain outfit looking better than ever withLionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe andNeymarfinally working in harmony will lock horns with Julian Nagelsmanns Bayern Munich.

Theres also a tasty clash in the form ofChelseavs Borussia Dortmund and plenty of hope for this years underdogs as Club Brugge and Benfica do battle, while Eintracht Frankfurt and Napoli slug it out.

So, theres plenty to salivate over as we wade our way through the World Cup and return to club action in the New Year.

And theres still plenty that we can infer about the draw in the mean time.

Thats because the data experts over atFiveThirtyEight have updated their predictive model on the 2022/23 Champions Leaguein line with the ramifications of the round of 16 draw.

For those unaware, FiveThirtyEight uses a complex algorithm which you canread more about here to weight the quality of the worlds best teams and therefore calculate the percentage likelihood of them achieving certain things.

So, the moral of the story is that we can now see how likely it is that each of the 16 teams left in the Champions League will lift Big Ears above their head at the Atatrk Olympic Stadium on June 10.

Soccer Football Real Madrid celebrate winning the Champions League Final with an open top bus parade Madrid, Spain May 29, 2022 Real Madrids Marcelo lifts the Champions League trophy on top of a statue during the victory parade REUTERS/Marcelo Del Pozo

Read more:Champions League Round of 16 draw in full

In other words, how much do the statistics fancy the chances of your team going all the way this season? Well, you can find out by seeing how FiveThirtyEight ranks every remaining side by their hopes of winning down below:

Soccer Football Champions League Group D Sporting Lisbon v Eintracht Frankfurt Jose Alvalade Stadium, Lisbon, Portugal November 1, 2022 Eintracht Frankfurts Junior Dina Ebimbe celebrates after the match REUTERS/Rodrigo Antunes

Soccer Football Champions League Group D Olympique de Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur Orange Velodrome, Marseille, France November 1, 2022 Tottenham Hotspurs Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg celebrates scoring their second goal with Harry Kane REUTERS/Eric Gaillard

Soccer Football Champions League Group H Paris St Germain v Maccabi Haifa Parc des Princes, Paris, France October 25, 2022 Paris St Germains Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring their second goal with Achraf Hakimi and Neymar REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier

Soccer Football Champions League Group G Manchester City v Borussia Dortmund Etihad Stadium, Manchester, Britain September 14, 2022 Manchester Citys Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their second goal Action Images via Reuters/Jason Cairnduff

Man City and Bayern Munich set the standard

A tale of two teams then, huh? Very interesting.

Its a huge vote of confidence for Bayern from the statisticians when you consider that their percentage chance of going all the way, which stood at 25% back on October 30, has barely faltered despite PSG being pulled out of the hat.

The Parisians, by contrast, have seen their hopes dashed from 11% to 7% both by way of drawing Bayern in the round of 16 and courtesy of finishing second in their group in the first place.

Elsewhere and Manchester City remain the hot favourites, as they have for so many years now, to be crowned European champions despite infamously having failed in their quest up until this point.

Soccer Football Champions League Final Manchester City v Chelsea Estadio do Dragao, Porto, Portugal May 29, 2021 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola walks past the Champions League trophy after the match Pool via REUTERS/Pierre-Philippe Marcou

Liverpool and Real Madrid cant be separated

Meanwhile, Liverpool and Real Madrid seem to be entirely evenly matched with both sides given a 8% chance of winning the tournament just as theyre both awarded a 50% likelihood of progressing to the quarter-finals.

In laymans terms, the data analysts cant decide between Los Blancos and the Reds when it comes to their round of 16 clash, which just goes to show how great of a match-up it really is.

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And lets not sleep on Benfica who, on the back of besting PSG in Group H, have been backed to the hilt by the data who sees the little-fancied Portuguese side as more likely to win the whole shebang than even Chelsea,Tottenhamand the Milan clubs.

However, as we all know, the Champions League isnt simply decided in spreadsheets, so as fascinating as these numbers might be, you just know that theyll be plenty of shocks and upsets to mess up the maths between now and June.

Who do you think will lift the Champions League aloft in Istanbul? Let us know.

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The worlds ninth-fastest journalist. Nominated for AIPS Awards, Football Content Awards and Lincolnshire 30 Under 30. Author of such literary classics as Ranking every Premier League manager by how good theyd be on a night out.

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